28 June 2021 to 2 July 2021
Europe/Vienna timezone

Future of CTBTO – Looking at Next 25 Years

P5.1-693
2 Jul 2021, 09:00
3h
Online

Online

e-Poster T5.1 - Science in Policy Discussions and Scientific Lessons Learned from Other Arms Control Agreements and Arrangements T5.1 e-poster session

Speaker

Mr Syed Muhammad Ayub Shah (National University of Sciences and Technology, Islamabad, Pakistan)

Description

The world is rapidly changing and this pace of change will be accelerated over the next decades in an unprecedented manner. Changes will be holistic and shall impact both human lives and behaviours in a profound manner. Technologies will change in their form and structures. Sources of energy for powering new found technologies will also change with renewable ones replacing the non-renewable ones. International political systems will also transform with changed system of wars. 'Short, smart and swift' war like actions using technology will emerge leading to the redefinition of war methodologies. This may bring about a major shift from weapons of mass destruction to the weapons of smart destruction. The scenario therefore may not have space for nuclear weapons in terms of their form and type as they exist today. Smart munitions and micro nuclear weapons may however be there to act as deterrents. Nuclear testing will therefore change its form in essence and will call for new instruments ensuring peace, non-proliferation, testing and banning. Verification regime will therefore experience a major shift in days to come. A plethora of new avenues and options are therefore on their way to include major modifications of existing arrangements.

Promotional text

A wholesome change is inevitable over the next two decades. Internatoinal Political System will undergo a major shift and so do the instruments of war. Next 25 years of the CTBTO are therefore absolutely different in terms of both structure, verification technologies and others

Primary author

Mr Syed Muhammad Ayub Shah (National University of Sciences and Technology, Islamabad, Pakistan)

Presentation materials

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